Uggla sets club HR mark in Marlins' win over Padres

Baseball Betting Lines

07/31/2010 - San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dan Uggla became the Marlins all-time home run leader and Ricky Nolasco was solid in 8 1/3 innings on the mound, as Florida held off San Diego, 6-3, in the second test of a three-game set at Petco Park.

Nolasco (12-7), who took a no-hitter into the sixth, gave up three runs on five hits to win his third straight start. The right-hander also struck out seven and walked one to improve to 8-2 over 12 road starts this year.

Uggla hit a solo homer in the sixth for his 144th career homer, passing Mike Lowell on the club's all-time list. Mike Stanton hit a two-run homer for the Marlins, who have won three in a row. Gaby Sanchez had two RBI.

Adrian Gonzalez drove in two runs for the Padres, who lost, 4-2, in the opener of this series. Scott Hairston belted a solo homer in defeat.

Kevin Correia (7-7) went six frames in the start, allowing three runs on four hits to take the loss.

Stanton's two-run homer in the second put Florida on the board early. Uggla walked and crossed the plate two batters later on Stanton's blast to left- center field.

Uggla's record-setting homer in the top of the sixth gave the Marlins a 3-0 lead. Nolasco's bid for a no-hitter came to an end in the home sixth when Hairston led off the inning with a blast over the wall in left.

Florida added another run in the seventh to make it a 4-1 game. Tim Stauffer started the inning on the mound for the Padres and gave up a one-out single to Hanley Ramirez. Logan Morrison then lined the ball to left field, but Hairston dropped the ball. He committed another error when he failed to pick up the ball cleanly. Ramirez crossed the plate on the play.

San Diego's second hit of the game came in the eighth, as Nick Hundley reached base on an infield single. Nolasco, though, retired the next three batters.

Sanchez's two-run single off Ryan Webb in the top of the ninth made it a 6-1 game.

The Padres made things a bit interesting in the home ninth. With runners on second and third and one out, Gonzalez hit a two-run single to make it 6-3. Leo Nunez was called in from the bullpen to get out of the jam. He did just that to record his 26th save of the season.

Game Notes

The Padres have lost six in a row at home to the Marlins...Florida acquired pitcher Will Ohman from the Baltimore Orioles in exchange for pitcher Rick VandenHurk...The St. Louis Cardinals acquired pitcher Jake Westbrook from the Cleveland Indians in a three-team trade that also involved San Diego. Along with Westbrook, St. Louis acquired cash from the Indians and minor league pitcher Nick Greenwood from the Padres. San Diego got outfielder Ryan Ludwick from the Cardinals, while the Indians received minor league pitcher Corey Kluber from the Padres...Florida has won five of seven and 11 of its last 15 overall...Nolasco improved to 3-2 lifetime against the Padres.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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